Did You Know?

Here's a fun fact for you. I was listening to "Baseball This Morning" on XM and Orestes Destrade dropped an interesting statistic. Over the last 6 years, the division leaders, as of July 4th, have only gone on to win the division 19 times. I'll break the math down for everyone. 6 divisions x 6 years = 36 division winners. 19 out of 36 is roughly 53%. For all intents and purposes, that's about half. So if the trend continues, we can expect 3 teams to fall out of first place and fail to win their division this year. The interesting question is, if the trend continues what 3 teams could it happen to?
As of now, there is 1 team I'm pretty sure it won't happen to, and that's the Mets. The NL has shown that they are the inferior league and the Mets have a double-digit lead. I can't see them squandering it. Every other race is close enough that lead changes could easily happen, and most likely will. It'll be a fun second half.
J